000
FZPN03 KNHC 191609
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED SEP 19 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 19
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 20
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 21
 
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 15.3N 111.1W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 19
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 25 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVO NEAR 16.8N 113.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVO NEAR 18.6N 114.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVO NEAR 20.5N 113.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 21.5N 111.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVO NEAR 22.0N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 60 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM 
NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM 
E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.LOW NEAR 17N127W 1007 MB MOVING W 10 KT. FROM 15N TO 25N W OF 
124W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 16N129W 
1007 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 28N W OF 125W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 17N130W 
1005 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NW AND 240 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL IN NW 
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 26N W OF 125W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 4N TO ON E OF 105W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN
S SWELL. FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN 108W AND 127W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 3N TO 9N BETWEEN 96W AND 112W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL. FROM 3N TO 9N BETWEEN 
115W AND
133W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN SE TO S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN 90W AND 110W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 135W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC WED SEP 19...
TROPICAL STORM IVO...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM 
N AND NE QUADRANTS AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM W OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.

LOW NEAR 17N127W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM NW OF CENTER
...AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.

SCATTERED STRONG N OF 5N E OF 80W TO ALONG THE COAST OF 
COLOMBIA. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 11N85W 10N95W 16N106W
12N112W 16N120W 15N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM 
OF 14.5N131W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 
91W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S 
OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 240 NM 
S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND 140W.

$$
FORECASTER AGUIRRE
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH