000
FZPN03 KNHC 110934
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT AUG 11 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 11
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 12
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 13
 
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
..HURRICANE FLOSSIE AT 12.6N 139.3W 960 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 11 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS TO 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 13.3N 143.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS TO 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 14.4N 148.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS TO 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 15.5N 152.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS TO 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 17.0N 156.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS TO 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 18.5N 159.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS TO 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING SECTION...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 25 TO 33 KT SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 
360 NM N AND NE QUADRANTS NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 25N W OF 120W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING SECTION OVER 
FORECAST WATERS...FROM 14N TO 24N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 13N W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 25N W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.S OF 8N FROM 85W TO 110W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
SLY SWELL. S OF 10N FROM 110W TO 126W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 8N BETWEEN 90W AND 110W S TO SW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SLY SWELL. S OF 10N FROM 110W TO 125W SE 
TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 8N BETWEEN 90W AND 110W S TO SW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 FT WITH SLY SWELL. S OF 10N W OF 110W SE TO S WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF THE BAJA COAST N OF 23N NW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC SAT AUG 11...
HURRICANE FLOSSIE...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF 
THE CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE CENTER.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...8N79W 12N91W 10N100W 16N112W 
14N118W 12N124W 15N136W 14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 
WITHIN 45 NM OF 9N85W 9N93W 9N97W AND FROM 9N100W TO 10N106W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE AND STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W AND 
107W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N TO 18N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N122W TO 15N135W. 

SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE COAST FROM 10N86W TO 13N89W 
TO 14N92W.

$$
FORECASTER RRG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH