000
FZPN03 KNHC 092136
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU AUG 09 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 09
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 10
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 11
 
.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 12.8N 132.4W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
09 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 13.0N 136.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLOSSIE NEAR 13.6N 140.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 19 
FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 14.5N 144.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 15.5N 149.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE NEAR 16.5N 153.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING SECTION...WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 33 KT SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING SECTION...WITHIN 
360 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 33 KT SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. WITHIN 
210 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING SECTION...WITHIN
360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 33 KT SEAS 9 TO 11. WITHIN 180 
NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.FROM 3N TO 7N BETWEEN 82W AND 105W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 105W AND 122W SE TO S
WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 84W AND 104W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 104W AND 111W 
SE TO S WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.

.N OF 23N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N BETWEEN 118W AND 124W N TO NE WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 20 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 122W AND 135W N TO NE WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC THU AUG 09...

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 70 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER
...EXCEPT 90 NM N QUADRANT.

SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 17N107.5W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...8N84W 12N100W 17N110W 11N117W
15N128W 9,5N134W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 108W...
AND 90 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W AND 102W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W AND 122W...
WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W AND 88W...AND
WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W AND 127W.

$$
FORECASTER AGUIRRE
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH