000
FZPN03 KNHC 020909
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU AUG 02 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 02
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 03
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 04
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.3N 130.0W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
02 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM SW AND 30 NM NW QUADRANTS. MAX SEAS TO 14 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 133.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.2N 137.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.5N 141.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.5N 145.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.5N 149.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 180 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. LITTLE CHANGE.

.N OF 10N W OF 130W AND FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W NE 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N W OF 130W AND FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 
118W AND 130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 22N W OF 120W AND N OF 25N W OF 
130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT WITH NE SWELL.  

.S OF 7N E OF 100W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. S 
OF 10N W OF 110W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT WITH SE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 8N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W S WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN SLY SWELL. S OF 8N W OF 125W SE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT WITH SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W SLY WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS 8 FT WITH SLY SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC THU AUG 02...
TROPICAL STORM ERICK...A CONCENTRATED AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION 
PERSISTS ON THE NW SIDE OF THE STORM. OTHERWISE NUMEROUS SQUALLS 
ACCOMPANY ERICK WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...8N76W 10N95W 15N114W 13N125W 
8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7N80W TO 9N96W TO 15N111W TO 12N123W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N132W TO 8N140W.

.ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE COAST AT 13N90W AND 15N94W. 
 
$$
FORECASTER RRG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH