000
FZPN03 KNHC 020319
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU AUG 02 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 02
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 03
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 04
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.4N 128.6W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG
02 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.9N 131.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.4N 135.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.8N 138.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.9N 142.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 15.0N 146.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 180 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. LITTLE CHANGE.

.NW OF LINE 30N130W 25N140W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N130W 25N140W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
TO 9 FT WITH NE SWELL.

.S OF 7N W OF 100W SLY WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC THU AUG 02...
TROPICAL STORM ERICK...NUMEROUS MODERATE AND STRONG WITHIN 45 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT WITHIN 150 NM SW QUADRANT.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...6N77W 8N95W 12N110W 12N120W 
8N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 7.7N81.9W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF 12.3N110.9W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 14.3N115.6W.
  
$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH