000
FZPN03 KNHC 012115
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED AUG 01 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 01
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 02
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 03
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.6N 127.1W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
01 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.9N 130.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.4N 133.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 100 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.7N 136.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 15.0N 139.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 15.0N 143.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 180 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. LITTLE CHANGE.

.NW OF LINE 30N130W 25N140W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N130W 25N140W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
TO 9 FT WITH NE SWELL.

.S OF 7N W OF 100W SLY WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC WED AUG 01...
TROPICAL STORM ERICK...NUMEROUS MODERATE AND STRONG WITHIN 45 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT WITHIN 150 NM SW QUADRANT.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...6N77W 7N90W 12N110W 12N115W 
9N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 5.8N78.7W AND 
12.8N115.2W.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH