000
FZPN03 KNHC 010930
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED AUG 01 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 01
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 02
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 03
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.0N 125.2W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
01 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.2N 128.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
SEAS TO 14 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 132.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 139.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 143.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 300 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. LITTLE CHANGE.

.ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT 
SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 7N W OF 125W SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT PRIMARILY IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 8N W OF 100W SLY WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.NW OF LINE 30N121W 24N140W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NLY SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NLY SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N127W 25N140W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
8 FT PRIMARILY IN STEEP NLY SWELL. 


.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC WED AUG 01...
TROPICAL STORM ERICK...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 
NM W SEMICIRCLE QUADRANT.

SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM COAST OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIA N OF 
3N.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...8N83W 14N108W 13N122W 7N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 
89W-103W...AND WITHIN 120NM EITHER SIDE BETWEEN 111W-119W. 

$$
FORECASTER WILLIS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH