000
FZPN03 KNHC 010318
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED AUG 01 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 01
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 02
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 03
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.1N 124.4W 1007 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG
01 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 128.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 132.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 136.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 140.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 144.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 300 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. LITTLE CHANGE.

.ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 5N W OF 120W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 8N W OF 100W SLY WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC WED AUG 01...
TROPICAL STORM ERICK...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 
NM MAINLY SW QUADRANT.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...5N77W 11N105W 12N115W 6N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 7.5N87W AND 11.4N111.1W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12.5N TO 14N FROM 111.5W 
TO 116W.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH