000
FZPN03 KNHC 181540
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED JUL 18 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 18
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 19
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 20
 
WARNINGS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.3N 138.9W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
18 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...0 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...0 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30
NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 15.9N 143.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 16.8N 149.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 17.5N 155.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 18.0N 161.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 18.0N 166.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN COSME WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE  
AND SE QUADRANT AND 90 SW QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 20N W OF 137W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 25N WITHIN 150 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  

.WITHIN 180 NM SE OF LINE 9N120W 18N103W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC WED JUL 18...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM OF 15N139W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...DISCONTINUOUS AXIS 8N78W 9N86W 
6N90W 9N98W 18N102W 15N110W 11N120W 11N125W 14N129W 6N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 5N E OF 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
N OF 16N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N TO 14N
BETWEEN 112W AND 120W.

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH