000
FZPN03 KNHC 180331
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED JUL 18 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 18
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 19
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 20
 
WARNINGS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.1N 136.6W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 
18 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 15.6N 140.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 30 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 16.7N 146.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 17.5N 152.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME DISSIPATING NEAR
18.0N 157.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW COSME NEAR 18.5N 161.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN COSME WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE  
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N 
TO 20N W OF 134W WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 19N W OF 138W E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 120 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 
KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM OF BAJA PENINSULA N OF 15N NW 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  

.WITHIN 210 NM SE OF LINE 16N101W 12N115W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 116W AND 120W S WINDS 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 117W TO 121W S WINDS 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 18...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 
14N136W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 8N83W 8N93W 16N105W 
11N115W 13N128W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ALONG MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 101W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 107W AND 109W. 

$$
FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH