000
FZPN03 KNHC 172121
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE JUL 17 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 19
 
WARNINGS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 14.8N 135.4W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 
17 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 15.5N 139.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 16.7N 145.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 18.0N 152.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME DISSIPATING NEAR
18.5N 156.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW COSME NEAR 19.0N 161.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN COSME WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 SE QUADRANT AND 90 SW QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 23N BETWEEN 130W AND 
138W WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST  
WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 22N W OF 135W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 18N TO 24N W OF 136W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
TO 9 FT.

.WITHIN 120 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 
KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  

.WITHIN 210 NM SE OF LINE 17N101W 11N117W SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 116W AND 119W S WINDS 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 117W TO 119W S WINDS 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 17...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT OF 15N135W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 8N80W 7N90W 17N101W 
11N117W 14N126W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 103W AND 107W.

$$
FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH