000
FZPN03 KNHC 171542
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE JUL 17 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 19
 
WARNINGS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.1N 134.4W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
17 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.8N 138.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 0 
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 16.7N 143.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER W OF FORECAST AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 18.0N 150.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 19.0N 155.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 19.0N 160.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN COSME WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 150 SE QUADRANT AND 120 SW QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 124W AND 
138W WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST  
WATERS WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...FROM 15N TO 22N 
W OF 136W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.

.WITHIN 150 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 KT  
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  

.WITHIN 240 NM SE OF LINE 16N102W 10N115W SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC TUE JUL 17...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 
15N136W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 8N78W 7N86W 16N103W 
12N114W 14N125W 13N128W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 15N99W 19N107W AND WITHIN 60 
NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 15N127W 10N131W. 

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH