000
FZPN03 KNHC 162209
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON JUL 16 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 18
 
WARNINGS...
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE COSME AT 14.5N 131.4W 987 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 16 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 
80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM N AND 60 
NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE COSME NEAR 15.2N 134.9W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 16.0N 139.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 75 NM N AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLES.  SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 17.5N 145.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 18.5N 151.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 19.0N 157.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN HURRICANE COSME WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM OF 
CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 22N 
W OF 123W  NE WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 
23N W OF 127W  NE WIND 20 KT  SEAS 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST....EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM 
OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 
22N W OF 132W  NE WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 10 FT.

.FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 100 AND 112W  S TO SW WIND 20 KT  SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 11N FROM 100W TO 115W  S TO SW WIND 20 
KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.  FROM 6N TO 10N W OF 130W  SW WIND TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 5N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 115W  
S TO SW WIND TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.WITHIN 150 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA PENINSULA
N OF 21N  NW WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2145 UTC MON JUL 16...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 10N85W  15N98W  
12N106W  12N114W  16N120W 8N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE 5N-10N E 
OF 88W AND WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS FROM 92W-115W.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS 120W-125W.

.NUMEROUS MODERATE/SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH 
TROPICAL STORM COSME FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 128W-133W. 

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH