000
FZPN03 KNHC 161548 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON JUL 16 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 18
 
WARNINGS...
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 14.3N 130.5W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
16 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...35 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...35 NM SW QUADRANT AND
60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.1N 133.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.7N 137.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 16.5N 143.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 17.5N 148.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 18.0N 153.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM COSME WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 22N W OF 123W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 23N W OF 127W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST....EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 22N W OF 132W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT.

.S OF 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 112W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT WITH SE SWELL. FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 123W AND 135W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W S TO SW WINDS 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT WITH SLY SWELL. FROM 6N TO 10N W OF 130W SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 5N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 115W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.WITHIN 150 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA PENINSULA N OF 21N NW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC MON JUL 16...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 10N85W 13N95W 
11N105W 15N117W 10N133W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE N OF 5N E OF 
85W. NUMEROUS MODERATE NEAR GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 10N BETWEEN 
92W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 102W-115W...AND FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 119W-124W. 

.NUMEROUS MODERATE/SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH 
TROPICAL STORM COSME FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 128W-133W. 

$$
FORECASTER WILLIS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH