000
FZPN03 KNHC 160923
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON JUL 16 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 18
 
WARNINGS...
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME AT 13.8N 129.5W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 16 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 
65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 
35 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...35 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE COSME NEAR 14.9N 132.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
75 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.5N 136.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 23 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 16.2N 141.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 17.0N 146.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 17.5N 151.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.LOW PRES..REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E..1010 MB NEAR 
17.3N123.0W MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. WITHIN 180 NM NW 
QUADRANT OF CENTER NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW CENTER DISSIPATES.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM COSME WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 23N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST....EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 230 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 22N W OF 126W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT.

.S OF 9N FROM 95W TO 110W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT 
WITH S SWELL. FROM 3N TO 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 135W S TO SW WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W S TO SW WINDS 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT WITH SLY SWELL. S OF 10N W OF 130W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 115W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 10N W OF 130W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT WITH MIXED SWELL.  

.WITHIN 90 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA N OF 23N NW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N WITHIN 180 NM W OF THE BAJA COAST NW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT WITH NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC MON JUL 16...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 9N81W 13N92W 13N108W 
17N121W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 5N79W AND 
6N80W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 114W 
AND FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 119W AND 124W.   

.SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE COAST FROM 14N92W TO 
15N95W TO 17N103W. 

.NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER OF 
TROPICAL STORM COSME LOCATED AT 13.8N129.5W.

$$
FORECASTER RRG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH