000
FZPN03 KNHC 160341
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON JUL 16 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 18
 
WARNINGS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME AT 13.3N 128.8W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 16 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 
55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 
30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 45 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 14.5N 131.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 75 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.0N 135.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.5N 140.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 16.5N 146.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 17.5N 151.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE E NEAR 17.6N 122.3W 1009 MB AT 0300 
UTC JUL 16 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.  SEAS 9 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST  REMNANT LOW PRES NEAR 18.8N 126.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST  DISSIPATED.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN STORM COSME WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 
NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.  
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 21N W OF 126W  NE WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST....EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.  
ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 22N W OF 126W  WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF T.D. FIVE-E  WIND 20 KT  SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 20 
KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 9N FROM 94W TO 108W  S TO SW WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 9 FT 
WITH S SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 10N FROM 97W TO 113W  S TO SW WIND TO 20 
KT  SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 12N FROM 100W TO 115W  S TO SW WIND TO 
20 KT  SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.06 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 90 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
N OF 23N NW WIND INCREASE TO 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 120 NM W OF COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
NW WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC MON JUL 16...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 10N85W  13N110W  
13N126W  8N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
AXIS FROM 97W TO 113W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS W OF 118W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF T.S. COSME AND 
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF T.D. FIVE-E.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG OVER GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 13N FROM 93W-96W.

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH