000
FZPN03 KNHC 152143
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 17
 
WARNINGS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME AT 12.7N 128.0W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 15 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 
45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
25 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 25 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 14.0N 130.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 14.7N 134.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.0N 138.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 16.0N 143.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME NEAR 17.5N 148.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE E AT 17.1N 121.1W 1008 MB AT 2100 UTC 
JUL 15 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 
25 GUSTS 35 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST  REMNANT LOW PRES NEAR 17.9N 126.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.  SEAS 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN STORM COSME WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 
NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.  
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 21N W OF 126W  NE WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST....EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.  
ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 22N W OF 126W  WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF T.D. FIVE-E  WIND 20 KT  SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 20 
KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 9N FROM 94W TO 108W  S TO SW WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 9 FT 
WITH S SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 10N FROM 97W TO 113W  S TO SW WIND TO 20 
KT  SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 12N FROM 100W TO 115W  S TO SW WIND TO 
20 KT  SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 90 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
N OF 23N NW WIND INCREASE TO 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 120 NM W OF COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
NW WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC SUN JUL 15...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 10N85W  12N93W 
13N110W  16N116W  6N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
180 NM OF AXIS E OF 110W AND WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS W OF 118W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF T.D. SIX-E AND 
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF T.D. FIVE-E.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG OVER GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 13N FROM 93W-96W.

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH