000
FZPN03 KNHC 311515
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU MAY 31 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU MAY 31
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUN 01
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUN 02

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM BARBARA NEAR 13.1N 95.8W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC MAY 
31 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT NW 
QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BARBARA NEAR 13.7N 96.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 
NM S AND 60 NM N SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BARBARA NEAR 14.8N 95.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 
NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BARBARA NEAR 15.5N 96.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BARBARA INLAND NEAR 16.0N
97.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARBARA INLAND NEAR 16.5N 
98.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALVIN NEAR 13.0N 115.5W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC 
MAY 31 MOVING WSW OR 250 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 
KT GUSTS 35 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL FROM 5N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 106W AND 124W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 12.7N 116.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL FROM 
10N TO 18N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 12.3N 117.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL 
WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 11.9N 118.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 11.2N 120.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 10.5N 121.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM S AND 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N 
TO 12N BETWEEN 92W AND 102W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 
12N BETWEEN 90W AND 102W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM SE 
AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 102W S TO SW WINDS 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 150 NM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC THU MAY 31...
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 
95W AND 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 8N TO 
15N BETWEEN 90W AND 102W.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALVIN...NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...9N77W 12N94W 9N110W 6N130W 
5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W 
AND 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 136W.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH