000
FZPN03 KNHC 300309
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED MAY 30 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED MAY 30
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU MAY 31
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUN 01

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 12.8N 114.3W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC MAY 
30 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 13.1N 115.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 13.2N 117.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 13.0N 119.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 12.7N 120.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 12.2N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO E NEAR 14.2N 97.5W 1007 MB AT 0300 UTC 
MAY 30 AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT 
GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.4N 97.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.0N 96.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 13.5N 96.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 14.5N 97.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 15.5N 99.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NW AND WITHIN 240 
NM SE OF LINE 13N91W 5N124W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 
FT WITH SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...S OF 12S 
BETWEEN 100W AND 130W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...S OF 12S E OF 
115W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N E OF 115W NW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC WED MAY 30...
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
60 NM OF CENTER.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 11N86W 13N97W 10N105W 
13N114W 6N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 9N100W 12N106W AND WITHIN 30 NM 7N118W 
AND 7N126.5W.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH