000
FZPN03 KNHC 292106
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE MAY 29 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE MAY 29
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED MAY 30
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU MAY 31

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 12.6N 114.0W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC MAY
29 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OVER SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 12.6N 115.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 12.6N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 12.5N 119.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 12.3N 120.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 12.0N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO E NEAR 14.2N 97.7W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC 
MAY 29 WITH LITTLE MOVEMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 
40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 50 NM OVER SE QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.5N 97.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 13.0N 97.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 13.4N 97.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 14.5N 98.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 15.5N 99.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NW AND WITHIN 240 
NM SE OF LINE 13N91W 5N124W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 
FT WITH SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...S OF 12S 
BETWEEN 100W AND 130W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...S OF 12S E OF 
117W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE MAY 29...
TROPICAL STORM ALVIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
30 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 11N86W 13N98W 7N115W 
8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 
NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11.5N86.5W 13N103W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 
LINE 10N100W 10N109W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 7N115W 7N131W. 

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH