000
FZPN03 KNHC 201605
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON NOV 20 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON NOV 20
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE NOV 21
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 22

.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 13N96W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 40 KT TO 55 KT SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 13N96W 12N98W NE TO E 
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 12N98W  
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE WINDS 40 TO 55 KT SEAS 14 TO 
22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N94.5 12N98W 10N100W NE 
TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 13N97W  
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT SEAS 
14 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N94.5 13N97W 
11N102W NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO AT 14.9N 107.2W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC 
NOV 20 MOVING WSW OR 255 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO NEAR 15.4N 109.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW SERGIO NEAR 16.0N 112.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 25 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 16N94.5 13N96W 10N102W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...FROM 7N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 87W AND 102W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND GULF OF 
FONSECA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...FROM 4N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 85W AND 106W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND GULF OF 
FONSECA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.LOW PRES 12N117W 1008 MB DRIFTING W. WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 90 SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 12N118W 1008 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 12N120W 1008 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
WINDS AND SEAS.

.STATIONARY FRONT 30N138W 29N140W. NW OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT SEAS TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N131W 25N140W. NW OF FRONT NE 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W 
OF 126W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONTAL TROUGH 30N125W 25N140W. NW OF TROUGH 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 13N W 
OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC MON NOV 20...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 5N77W 10N90W 12N105W 
7N120W  5W140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 88W AND 113W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W 
OF 120W.

FORECASTER WILLIS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH