000
FZPN03 KNHC 192142
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON NOV 20 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON NOV 20
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE NOV 21
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED NOV 22

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 15.1N 105.9W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC NOV 
19 MOVING W SW OR 255 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS TO 
13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO NEAR 15.2N 106.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW SERGIO NEAR 15.5N 109.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT SEAS TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...STORM WARNING...
.WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 12N97W  
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT 
SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N94.5 12N97W 
10N100W NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 13N96W 11N99W  
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 40 TO 55 KT 
SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N94.5 13N96W 
9N101W NE TO E WINDS 30 TO 40 KT SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 240 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 90 
NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF 
REMNANT LOW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 16N94.5 
11N98W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF 
LINE 16N94.5W 13N97W 10N101W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...FROM 6N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 92W AND 106W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.LOW PRES STATIONARY 11N114W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 11N115W 1007 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 12N116W 1008 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS 
AND SEAS.

.COLD FRONT APPROACH NW PORTION. WITHIN 24 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
LINE 30N123W 25N130W 22N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN NLY SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N135W 28N140W. NW OF FRONT N TO 
NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 
115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN NLY SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONTAL TROUGH 30N128W 22N140W. NW OF TROUGH 
NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 8N TO 13N E OF 92W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO AND FONSECA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC SUN NOV 19...
TROPICAL STORM SERGIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
OF 15N104W AND WITHIN 15 NM OF 15.5N105.5W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 11N85W 7N93W 8N98W 14N107W 
5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE AND STRONG FROM 5N TO 11N E OF 95W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N103W 
12N114W AND WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N122W 7N132W.

FORECASTER
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH