000
FZPN03 KNHC 190309
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN NOV 19 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN NOV 19
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON NOV 20
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE NOV 21

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 15.7N 105.1W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 
19 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 16.5N 106.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO DISSIPATING NEAR 
17.1N 109.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW SERGIO NEAR 17.5N 111.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

...STORM WARNING...
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N95W 13N97W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16N95W 13N97W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16N95W 13N97W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 40 TO 50 KT SEAS 12 TO 18 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 16N95W 13N97W 12N100W NE TO E 
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT SEAS 10 TO 16 FT IN NE SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 90 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
SERGIO WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.

.N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... 
N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 90 NM OF 
LINE 16N95W 12N98W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 90 NM OF 
LINE 16N95W 13N97W 12N99W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS TO 11 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...FROM 10N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 94W AND 103W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.LOW 11N115W 1008 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 13N115W 1008 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS 
AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 13N114W 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.NW OF LINE 30N120W 22N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 
IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N138W 28N140W. NW OF FRONT N 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. WITHIN 360 NM NW OF LINE 30N118W 
15N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N134W 27N140W. NW OF FRONT N TO 
NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 10N E OF 92W...INCLUDING GULFS OF 
PAPAGAYO AND FONSECA...NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0245 UTC SUN NOV 19...
TROPICAL STORM SERGIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 15N TO 
18N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...6N77W 9N85W 8N89W 13N101W 
8N120W 8N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH