000
FZPN03 KNHC 172108
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI NOV 17 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI NOV 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT NOV 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN NOV 19

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 14.0N 102.6W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC NOV 
17 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM W AND 60 NM 
E SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO NEAR 14.8N 102.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 20 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO NEAR 16.3N 104.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW SERGIO NEAR 17.5N 107.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM E AND 120 NM 
W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS WITHIN 180 
NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS WITHIN  150 
NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. 

.WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 14N96W 13N98W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 14N96W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS SEAS 
9 TO 12 FT.

.LOW 11N115W 1008 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 120 NM NW 
AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W S TO SW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N115W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 300 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 15 TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
4N TO 11N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 
FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N116W 1008 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS 
AND SEAS. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 11N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.18 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N125W 25N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N120W 25N130W 22N140W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N115W 15N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2045 UTC FRI NOV 17...
TROPICAL STORM SERGIO...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE. 

LOW NEAR 11N115W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM 
S SEMICIRCLE. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...10N84W 14N100W 10N120W 7N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 112W. 

FORECASTER COBB/WILLIS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH