000 FZPN03 KNHC 171551 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC FRI NOV 17 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV 17 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT NOV 18 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN NOV 19 .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 14.2N 102.5W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV 17 MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 15.5N 103.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE TO RADII OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 17.0N 105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO NEAR 18.0N 107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO NEAR 19.0N 109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW SERGIO NEAR 20.0N 112.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. ...GALE WARNING... .N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS WITHIN 210 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 14N96W 13N98W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 14N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .LOW 12N115W 1007 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 12N115W 1007 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 11N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N115W 1008 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 11N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N120W 25N130W 22N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N120W 20N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC FRI NOV 17... TROPICAL STORM SERGIO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE AND STRONG WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W. LOW NEAR 12N115W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120-150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...10N84W 14N100W 10N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 113W. FORECASTER COBB TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH