000 FZPN03 KNHC 170902 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC FRI NOV 17 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 17 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 18 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN NOV 19 .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 14.0N 102.8W 988 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 17 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT.SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 15.2N 103.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 16.7N 105.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 18.0N 107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO NEAR 19.5N 109.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW SERGIO NEAR 21.0N 112.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ...GALE WARNING... .N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS WITHIN 240 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N95W 15N95W 13N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N95W 14N96W 13N98W... INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25KT SEAS TO 9 FT. .LOW 11N115W 1007 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N115W 1007 MB. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 11N BETWEEN 105W AND 117W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N115W 1010 MB. FROM 7N TO 10N SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N120W 20N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 0245 UTC FRI NOV 17... HURRICANE SERGIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...10N86W 12N100W 11N115W 7N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 102W-115W. FORECASTER DGS TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH 000 FZPN03 KNHC 170902 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC FRI NOV 17 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 17 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 18 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN NOV 19 .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 14.0N 102.8W 988 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 17 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT.SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 15.2N 103.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 16.7N 105.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 18.0N 107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO NEAR 19.5N 109.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW SERGIO NEAR 21.0N 112.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ...GALE WARNING... .N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS WITHIN 240 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N95W 15N95W 13N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16N95W 14N96W 13N98W... INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25KT SEAS TO 9 FT. .LOW 11N115W 1007 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N115W 1007 MB. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 11N BETWEEN 105W AND 117W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N115W 1010 MB. FROM 7N TO 10N SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N120W 20N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 0245 UTC FRI NOV 17... HURRICANE SERGIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...10N86W 12N100W 11N115W 7N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 102W-115W. FORECASTER DGS TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH