000
FZPN03 KNHC 160919
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU NOV 16 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 18

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 12.5N 103.1W 970 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 16
MOVING NE OR 045 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 14.1N 103.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 24 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 15.9N 104.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH 90 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 18.0N 106.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 19.5N 107.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 21.0N 110.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...GALE WARNING...
.06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 30 TO 45 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS WITHIN 270 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS WITHIN 270 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS WITHIN 300 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 25N BETWEEN 117W AND 125W N WINDS 20 KT SEAS 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W S TO 
SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
LINE 16N94.5W 12N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
LINE 16N94.5W 12N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC THU NOV 16...
HURRICANE SERGIO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N AND WITHIN 60 
NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND 116W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...10N85W 12N100W 10N115W 6N125W 
5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF 
AXIS FROM 108W TO 115W AND WITH 90 NM N OF AXIS FROM 122W TO 
124W.

FORECASTER DGS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH