000
FZPN03 KNHC 151446
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED NOV 15 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV 17

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 12.1N 103.9W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV 15
MOVING SE OR 135 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 12.4N 103.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 15.0N 104.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 16.5N 105.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 18.0N 106.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 19.0N 107.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...GALE WARNING...
.30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 35 TO 40 KT SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE  N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 
96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT 
SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
480 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 5N TO 20N W OF 130W AND N OF 5N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W NE 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. N OF 12N BETWEEN 120W 
AND 112W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 25N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W N WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 85W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
LINE 16N94.5W 12N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...N OF 11N BETWEEN 
94W AND 98W NE WINDS 25 KT SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC WED NOV 15...
TROPICAL STORM SERGIO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 
102W AND 108W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...9N84W 13N115W 8N125W 7N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 81W AND 
85W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS 
FROM 133W TO 138W.

FORECASTER TORRES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH