000
FZPN03 KNHC 150906
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED NOV 15 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED NOV 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 17

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 12.6N 104.2W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV
15 MOVING SE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 12.5N 104.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 13.1N 103.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER. SEAS TO 21 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 15.1N 104.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 25 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 16.5N 104.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 18.0N 105.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 19.0N 106.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...GALE WARNING...
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 12N95W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 45 KT SEAS 9 
TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
480 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 5N TO 20N W OF 130W AND N OF 5N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W NE 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. N OF 12N BETWEEN 120W 
AND 112W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 25N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W N WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 85W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.30 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
LINE 16N94.5W 12N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC WED NOV 15...
TROPICAL STORM SERGIO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 
102W AND 108W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...9N84W 13N115W 8N125W 7N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 81W AND 
85W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS 
FROM 133W TO 138W.

FORECASTER DGS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH