000
FZPN03 KNHC 150301
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED NOV 15 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED NOV 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU NOV 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI NOV 17

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 12.8N 104.3W 994 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV
15 MOVING IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
40 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 12.8N 104.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 13.1N 103.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 21 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 14.6N 103.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 25 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 16.5N 104.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 17.5N 105.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 18.5N 106.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...GALE WARNING...
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N94.5W 12N95W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 45 KT SEAS 9 
TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
480 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.N OF 6N W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. N 
OF 12N BETWEEN 125W AND 112W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 6N TO 18N W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. N OF 10N BETWEEN 125W AND 112W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N E OF 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N E OF 120W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 
FT IN SW SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
LINE 16N94.5W 12N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC WED NOV 15...
TROPICAL STORM SERGIO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF LINE 15N104W 11N105W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 10N80W 9N90W 14N114W 
8N124W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 79W AND 
90W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF LINE 9N108W 15N115W AND FROM 7N TO 10N W OF 136W. 

FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH