000
FZPN03 KNHC 141513
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE NOV 14 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE NOV 14
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 15
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 16

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 13.2N 104.5W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV 
14 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 25 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 25 NM OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 13.5N 105.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 14.0N 105.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 15.5N 105.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 17.0N 106.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SERGIO NEAR 18.5N 107.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
240 NM SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
420 NM S AND 240 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.

.FROM 8N TO 16N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL. N OF 16N W OF 116W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W N WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 
125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1445 UTC TUE NOV 14...
TROPICAL STORM SERGIO...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
9N TO 15N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...9N77W 8N88W 13N100W 13N115W 
7N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 3N E OF 82W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 90W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 101W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N TO 8N W OF 138W.

FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH