000
FZPN03 KNHC 232122
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON OCT 23 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 23
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 24
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 25

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 17.0N 111.6W 979 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 23 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 
100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW AND 70 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 20.1N 110.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL INLAND NEAR 24.5N 106.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED INLAND.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 
NM E AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS TO 12 FT.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC... 
N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF TEHAUNTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 8N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 8N BETWEEN 102W AND 120W S WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT WITH SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 12 TO 20N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.NW OF LINE 30N132W 20N140W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N130W 23N140W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N125W 
20N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N130W 23N140W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N120W 
15N140W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2045 UTC MON OCT 23...
HURRICANE PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...12N85W 13N95W 7N117W 13N135W 
12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 
91W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS 
BETWEEN 118W AND 126W...AND W OF 132W.

FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH