000
FZPN03 KNHC 230901
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON OCT 23 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 23
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 24
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 25

.WARNINGS

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 16.2N 111.5W 973 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 23
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 75 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 125 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 31 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 19.1N 111.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 175 NM NE QUADRANT...125 NM NW QUADRANT AND 150 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 23.6N 108.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 125 NM N AND 100 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL DISSIPATING INLAND
NEAR 27.0N 104.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NE QUADRANT...240 
NM NW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 
NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 
NM SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 12 FT.

.S OF 8N BETWEEN 95W AND 112W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W S WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 134W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 26N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N124W 23N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N W OF 133W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 
10 TO 14 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N130W 24N140W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 9 
TO 13 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N123W 18N140W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0830 UTC MON OCT 23...
HURRICANE PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60-75 NM OF 
CENTER.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N94W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE N OF 12N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 92W
AND 96W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...11N86W 10N96W 10N110W 8N117W 
11N137W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 109W...AND WITHIN 120 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS W OF 137W.

FORECASTER COBB
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH