000
FZPN03 KNHC 230306
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON OCT 23 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 23
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 24
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 25

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 16.1N 111.1W 979 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 23 
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 
90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 19.2N 111.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 23.5N 109.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE AND 120 NM SE QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL INLAND NEAR 27.5N 
104.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NE QUADRANT...240 
NM NW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 
NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 
NM SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 12 FT.

.S OF 8N BETWEEN 95W AND 112W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 134W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 18N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 26N W OF 133W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N125W 24N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 9 
TO 13 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N130W 24N140W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 9 
TO 13 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N125W 20N140W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF TEHAUNTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0245 UTC MON OCT 23...
HURRICANE PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...12N85W 14N96W 7N115W 13N135W 
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 
89W AND 109W.

FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH