000
FZPN03 KNHC 222114
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN OCT 22 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 22
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 23
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 24

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 15.9N 110.7W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 22 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 50 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 18.5N 111.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 150 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL INLAND NEAR 23.0N 110.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE AND 90 NM SW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 60 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL DISSIPATING INLAND 
NEAR 25.5N 107.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NE QUADRANT...240 
NM NW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 
NM E AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCPET AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 
NM SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 12 FT.

.S OF 8N BETWEEN 95W AND 112W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 134W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 18N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 27N W OF 133W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N123W 24N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N W OF 133W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 9 
TO 13 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N130W 24N140W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 9 
TO 14 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N125W 21N140W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.

.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF TEHAUTNEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2045 UTC SUN OCT 22...
TROPICAL STORM PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM 
OF CENTER.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...12N85W 14N96W 8N118W 12N135W 
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 
89W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS 
BETWEEN 104W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE 
AXIS W OF 135W.

FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH