000
FZPN03 KNHC 221010 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN OCT 22 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 22
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 23
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 24

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 15.8N 108.9W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 22 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 17.1N 111.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 
60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 21.0N 111.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL INLAND NEAR 25.0N 108.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...LITTLE CHANGE.

.S OF 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.FROM 13N TO 21N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 20N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN W SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 24N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N W OF 128W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 21N140W 30N127W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN N SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SUN OCT 22...
TROPICAL STORM PAUL...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...DISCONTINUOUS AXIS 11N86W 17N102W. 
AXIS CONTINUES 10N107W 7N114W 11N132W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 60 NM AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 8N135W.

FORECASTER MUNDELL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH