000
FZPN03 KNHC 210846
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT OCT 21 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 21
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 22
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 23

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N 105.9W 1004 MB AT 0900 
UTC OCT 21 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.1N 108.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF 
CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. SEAS TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.0N 110.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF 
CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER. SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 18.0N 110.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 22.0N 109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION E DISSIPATING INLAND NEAR
27.0N 103.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.


.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM W AND 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM E AND 
120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM E AND 
150 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.

.S OF 10N BETWEEN 85W AND 100W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. 
S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 11N BETWEEN 90W AND 110W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.FROM 13N TO 25N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 9 FT. N OF 20N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT 
IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N W OF 133W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
NE SWELL. N OF 26N BETWEEN 125W AND 133W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SAT OCT 21...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 105W AND 109W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...INITIAL AXIS 10N85W 15N95W. AXIS 
CONTINUES 9N102W 8N107W 12N127W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS ALONG CENTRAL AMERICAN COAST. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 115W.

FORECASTER MUNDELL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH