000
FZPN03 KNHC 102106
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 10 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 10
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 11
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 12

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 15.9N 126.0W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
10 MOVING NE OR 040 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE
60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA NEAR 18.2N 122.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 
75 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 85 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA NEAR 19.5N 119.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW OLIVIA NEAR 20.0N 116.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN NEAR 16.5N 117.7W 1006 MB AT 2100 UTC 
OCT 10 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 KT 
GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 17.8N 116.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 18.5N 114.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OLIVIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 200 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 
21N W OF 115W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OLIVIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM 
NW AND 200 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 21N W OF 115W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W SW WINDS 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OLIVIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 200 NM 
NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 21N W OF 115W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 110W S TO SW WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 4N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 110W S TO SW WINDS 
20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC TUE OCT 10...
TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM 
OF 16.5N126.5W.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 17N TO 19N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 117W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 8N81W 8N95W 10N105W 12N118W 
10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS
E OF 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 
125W.

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH