000
FZPN03 KNHC 092127
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON OCT 9 2006S

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 9
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 10
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 11

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NORMAN NEAR 16.2N 117.9W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 09 
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 
50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM 
SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORMAN NEAR 17.7N 118.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 
75 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORMAN NEAR 19.5N 117.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 
60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE  WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NORMAN NEAR 21.0N 115.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NORMAN NEAR 22.5N 113.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NORMAN NEAR 24.0N 111.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 12.8N 127.9W 1005 MB AT 210 UTC 
OCT 09 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT 
GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.7N 128.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.0N 126.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 
NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 18.0N 122.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.5N 118.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 23.5N 114.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NORMAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 200 NM OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN T.D. 16-E WARNINGS...WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...LITTLE CHANGE.

.ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 22N W OF 118W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 120W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC MON OCT 9...
TROPICAL STORM NORMAN...WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16-E...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM OF 13N127W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 9N84W 9N104W 13N117W 13N125W 
9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS W OF 112W.

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH