000
FZPN03 KNHC 171607
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN SEP 17 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 19

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM AT 19.2N 113.9W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
17 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 3 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 
GUSTS 50 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM NEAR 20.7N 113.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRIAM NEAR 22.5N 115.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRIAM DISSIPATING NEAR 
23.5N 116.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  REMNANT LOW MIRIAM NEAR 25.0N 116.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MIRIAM WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MIRIAM WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MIRIAM WARNINGS...WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
  
.N OF 15N W OF 125W  NE WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E OF 125W  N WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 13N W OF 125W  NE WIND 20 KT  SEAS 10 FT 
IN NE SWELL.

.FROM S OF 8N  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 13N W OF 108W AND S OF 8N E OF 108W 
WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1445 UTC SUN SEP 17...

TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM...STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...
AXIS ALONG 7N77W  8N85W  6N106W  13N117W  10N130W  10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 3N FROM 77W TO 83W.  
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 98W TO 115W.  
SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 123W TO134W.

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR PANAMA COAST N OF 3N E OF 84W
AND NEAR GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 10N FROM 91W TO 96W. 

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH