000
FZPN03 KNHC 170917
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN SEP 17 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 19

.WARNINGS

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM NEAR 19.1N 113.9W 1002 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
17 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
20 NM NE AND 120 SW QUADRANTS...180 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 30 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM NEAR 20.5N 113.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM SW..90 NM NW AND 
90 NM SE AND 60 NM NE QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRIAM NEAR 22.4N 114.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 15 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRIAM DISSIPATING NEAR 
24.0N 115.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW MIRIAM NEAR 25.0N 116.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MIRIAM WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 140 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MIRIAM WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MIRIAM WARNINGS...WITHIN 
100 NM OF THE CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
  
.N OF 15N W OF 125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN 
NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E OF 125W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT WITH NLY SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 12N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.  ELSEWHERE N OF 27N BETWEEN 125W AND 
130W N WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT WITH N SWELL.

.FROM S OF 12N W OF 110W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 13N W OF 108W AND S OF 10N E OF 108W SLY 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN SLY 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC SUN SEP 17...

TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM...SMALL AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 
60 NM SE OF THE CENTER. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...
AXIS ALONG 9N80W 10N88W 7N100W 9N109W 17N114W 10N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N78W TO 7N110W. 
ISOLATED NEAR 12N123W AND 10N128W. 

OTHER CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COAST AT 6N79W 13N91W 
15N93W 21N107W AND 24N108W. 

$$
FORECASTER RRG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH