000
FZPN03 KNHC 010926 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 01
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 02
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 03

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOHN AT 21.7N 108.8W 960 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 01 MOVING 
NW OR 310 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 GUSTS 120 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF THE 
CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 23.9N 111.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 GUSTS 120 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 25.4N 114.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER 90 NM N AND 120 NM S OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOHN NEAR 26.3N 116.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOHN NEAR 26.8N 119.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOHN NEAR 27.0N 122.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.

.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY AT 19.3N 118.1W 991 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 01 
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH 
GUSTS TO 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE... 35 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 20.0N 119.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT 
AND 25 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 20.2N 120.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 
50 NM OF CENTER.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 20.5N 121.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST KRISTY DISSIPATING NEAR 19.5N 121.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW KRISTY NEAR 19.0N 122.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOHN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 SW SEMICIRCLE OF JOHN WINDS TO 33 KT SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOHN WARNINGS. WITHIN 150 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 33 KT SEAS 9 
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOHN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 
NM N AND 75 NM S OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNINGS. WITHIN 150 NM OF KRISTY 
WINDS TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNINGS. LITTLE 
CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNINGS. WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.N OF 25N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 25N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.S OF 15N FROM 105W TO 120W S TO SW WIND 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 12N FROM 115W TO 120W S TO SW WIND 20 KT  
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC FRI SEP 01...
HURRICANE JOHN...SOLID STRONG CONVECTION FORMING EYEWALL WITHIN 
40 NM OF THE CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.

TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ABOUT 25 NM 
S OF CENTER OF KRISTY. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...7N78W 13N91W 17N103W 6N132W 
6N140W. CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION NEAR 6N78W AND 12N89W AND 
10N101W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 16N94W TO 14N100W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 
16N110W TO 11N119W.

$$
FORECASTER RRG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH