000 FZPN03 KNHC 301559 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC WED AUG 30 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 30 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 31 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 01 .WARNINGS ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 16.6N 102.3W 948 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 30 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...200 NM NW QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 19.3N 105.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 155 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...200 NM NW QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 22.3N 108.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...200 NM NW QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 23.5N 111.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 24.0N 115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 24.0N 119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 16.7N 115.1W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 30 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 17.8N 117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 19.2N 120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 20.0N 123.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 20.0N 125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 20.0N 127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLE OF JOHN WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF JOHN WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM OF KRISTY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .ELSEWHERE S OF 10N FROM 105W TO 120W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 12N FROM 100W TO 125W S WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 12N FROM 107W TO 125W S WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC WED AUG 30... HURRICANE JOHN...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES. TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N85W 14N97W THEN BECOMES DISTORTED BY THE TROPICAL CYCLONES. THE AXIS IS NOTED AGAIN FROM 12N118W TO 10N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED NE OF LINE 2N79W 10N91W AND FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 103W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 10N112W 10N133W. $$ FORECASTER TORRES TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH