000
FZPN03 KNHC 291519
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE AUG 29 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 29
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 30
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 31

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 14.3N 99.0W 983 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 29
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 15.6N 102.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 18.2N 106.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 20.5N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 21.0N 112.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 21.5N 115.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOHN WARNINGS. WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 240 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.LOW PRES 16N114W 1007 MB DRIFTING W. WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 15N115W 1009 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS 
AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 16N117W 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ELSEWHERE S OF 10N FROM 105W TO 120W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 12N FROM 105W TO 120W SW WINDS 
20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SLY SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 12N FROM 103W TO 125W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC TUE AUG 29...
TROPICAL STORM JOHN...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 160 NM NE AND 120 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES.

LOW NEAR 16N114W...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 130 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...11N86W 13N95W 13N105W 12N125W 
11N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 108W. 

$$
FORECASTER DGS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH