000
FZPN03 KNHC 231623
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED AUG 23 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 23
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 24
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 25

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
..HURRICANE ILEANA NEAR 18.1N 111.5W 960 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 23 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT 
GUSTS 125 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...125 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT... 
100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 125 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ILEANA NEAR 20.0N 115.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
330 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ILEANA NEAR 21.3N 118.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...105 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
330 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ILEANA NEAR 22.0N 119.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ILEANA NEAR 22.5N 121.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA NEAR 22.5N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ILEANA WARNINGS. WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ILEANA WARNINGS. WITHIN 420 
NM OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ILEANA WARNINGS. WITHIN 300 
NM OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  

.LOW PRES 1012 MB...REMNANT OF HECTOR...23N139W MOVE W 10 KT.  
WITHIN 360 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...N OF CENTER WEST OF 133W NE WINDS 20 KT  SEAS 8 T0 
12 FT IN CONFUSE SEA SWELLS. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES OUT OF AREA W OF 140W. WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 10N FROM 110W TO 135W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 9 T0 11 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 9 FT IN SW SWELLS.
.42 HOUR WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC WED AUG 23...
HURRICANE ILEANA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 100 NM NW SEMICIRCLE.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...6N80W 6N90W 13N105W 9N140W. 
A CLUSTER OF MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE GULF 
OF PANAMA E OF 82W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 6N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 116W TO 126W.


$$
FORECASTER GR/WB
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH