000
FZPN03 KNHC 212107
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON AUG 21 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 21
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 22
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 23

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TS ILEANA NEAR 12.8N 103.2W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 21 MOVING 
WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 
KT. TS FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM NE 
QUAD. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 100 NM 
NE QUAD WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TS ILEANA NEAR 14.7N 106.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TS FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURCN ILEANA NEAR 17.3N 110.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TS FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURCN ILEANA NEAR 20.0N 115.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURCN ILEANA NEAR 22.0N 118.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TS ILEANA NEAR 24.0N 122.0W. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TS HECTOR NEAR 22.3N 135.5W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 21 MOVING 
NW OR 325 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 
KT. TS FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUAD. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TD HECTOR DISSIPATING NEAR 23.3N 137.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW HECTOR W OF AREA NEAR 23.5N 141.0W 
1014 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW HECTOR W OF AREA NEAR 24.0N 
145.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TS ILEANA WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 360 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...LITTLE CHANGE IN 
WINDS AND SEAS.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TS HECTOR WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 150 SW QUAD WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN HECTOR WARNING...WITHIN 300 
NM NW SEMICIRCLE NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 21N TO 27N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.ELSEWHERE S OF 11N BETWEEN 98W AND 112W AND S OF 5N BETWEEN 
112W AND 132W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN 
SW SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W S TO 
SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 92W AND 123W S TO 
SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. 

.N OF 25N WITHIN 420 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 KT  
SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC MON AUG 21...
TS ILEANA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM NE QUAD 
AND WITHIN 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

TS HECTOR...SCATTERED MODERATE OVER N QUAD WITHIN 90 NM OF 
25N134W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 7N78W 10N94W 13N103W 
8N121W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 120 NM OF 5N82W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 7N92W AND WITHIN 150 
NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 9N108W 7N126W 13N132W. 

SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N109W.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH