000
FZPN03 KNHC 222125
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 22
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 23
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 24

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.0N 131.9W 935 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 22
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT
GUSTS 155 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
350 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...400 NM NE QUADRANT AND 250 NM SW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 43 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.8N 135.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 36 
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.8N 139.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 
33 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 16.8N 141.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 18.0N 143.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 70 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 19.5N 148.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 16.5N 104.6W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL
22 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 19.2N 106.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 55 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 20.9N 110.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 85 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 22.3N 112.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 24.5N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA DISSIPATING NEAR
26.5N 119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 480 NM NE QUADRANT
420 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 300 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
480 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND NW QUADRANT AND 240 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND NW QUADRANT AND 240 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS
20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE
...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 111W S 
TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...WITHIN
300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 99W AND 114W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 13N BETWEEN 
102W AND 118W SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.

.N OF 26N BETWEEN 122W AND 132W N TO NW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W N TO NE WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2045 UTC SAT JUL 22...
HURRICANE DANIEL...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE
AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...8N78W 11N90W 15N104W 
11N110W 14N120W 10N130W 7.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG N OF 4N BETWEEN 79W AND 82W...WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 99W...AND WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 125W AND 128W.

$$
FORECASTER AGUIRRE
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH