000
FZPN03 KNHC 221505
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 22
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 23
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 24

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.9N 130.8W 933 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 22
MOVING WNW OR 282 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT
GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 350 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...400 NM NE QUADRANT AND 250
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 46 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.6N 134.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 40 
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.6N 138.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 35 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 16.5N 140.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 17.5N 142.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 19.0N 145.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 15.3N 104.6W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
22 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER 
OVER THE SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 17.5N 107.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 18.9N 109.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 65 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 20.4N 111.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 22.3N 113.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 24.5N 116.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...270 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM E AND 120 NM 
W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS AROUND CENTER. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 105W AND 115W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
300 NM E AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 12N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W SW WINDS 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SAT JUL 22...
HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
THE CENTER.

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240 
NM SW AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS.

NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 103W AND 
107W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...7N77W 12N95W 10N105W 
16N125W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 2N TO 8N E OF 80W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG WITHIN 180 NM N OF AXIS FROM 87W TO 
92W.

$$
FORECASTER DGS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH