000
FZPN03 KNHC 220916
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 22
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 23
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 24

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.8N 129.7W 933 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 22 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT 
GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 100 
NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 350 NM NW AND 
SE...400 NM NE AND 250 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 45 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.5N 133.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 42 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.2N 136.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 16.0N 138.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 17.5N 139.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 20.0N 142.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 13.8N 104.0W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 
22 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 15.8N 106.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 17.7N 109.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 19.5N 112.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 21.0N 114.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 23.0N 117.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
270 NM E SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM E AND 120 NM 
W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS AROUND CENTER. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 105W AND 112W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS AROUND CENTER. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 105W AND 120W SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SAT JUL 22...
HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
THE CENTER.

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210 
NM SW AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS.

NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 20N TO 22N E OF 107W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...7N77W 12N94W 13N104W 
11N108W 15N120W 8N130W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG N OF 2N E OF 79W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 
86W AND 102W.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH