000
FZPN03 KNHC 210919
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 21
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 22
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 23

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.2N 125.3W 948 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 21 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 100 
NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...200 NM SW QUADRANT AND 250 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 38 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.1N 128.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM N AND 180 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.0N 132.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 16.0N 135.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 17.0N 137.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 18.5N 139.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...420 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM N SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.

.LOW 11N103W 1008 MB DRIFTING NW. FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 100W 
AND 108W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 12N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 95W AND 101W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...13N105W 1006 
MB. WITHIN 360 NM SE AND S QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT. WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...13N109W 1005 
MB. WITHIN 360 NM SE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC FRI JUL 21...
HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM N 
AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES.

LOW NEAR 11N103W...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST 
BETWEEN 94W AND 106W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...7N77W 11N93W 11N108W 
14N117W 7N127W 12N136W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
FROM 3N TO 13N BETWEEN 83W AND 90W.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH